GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 6/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zvezda St. Petersburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Zvezda St. Petersburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Spartak Moscow 2 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zvezda St. Petersburg hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Second League - Group 2, while Zvezda St. Petersburg holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zvezda St. Petersburg

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Zvezda St. Petersburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zvezda St. PetersburgWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak Moscow 2LLLWW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Zvezda St. PetersburgSpartak Moscow 2
45.1Attack31.3
51.0Defence50.0
39.2Form31.3
46.8Power40.5
1.48xG0.82
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