Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Zrinjski are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Posušje are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinjski hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40