Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Zrinjski are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Čelik are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinjski hold a 53.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Premijer Liga, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60