GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Znamya Noginsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Znamya Noginsk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dinamo Bryansk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Znamya Noginsk hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Cup, while Znamya Noginsk holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Znamya Noginsk

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

12.6%

Znamya Noginsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Znamya NoginskWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo BryanskWWLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Znamya NoginskDinamo Bryansk
100.0Attack44.4
33.3Defence55.6
100.0Form44.4
80.3Power49.5
1.69xG1.15
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