Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zira · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Zira are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Safa Baku are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zira hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.5% in the Premyer Liqa, while Zira holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zira
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
22.5%
Zira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40