Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zira · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Zira are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Paide are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zira hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Zira holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zira
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Zira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40