Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Zimbru are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sireți are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zimbru hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Super Liga, while Zimbru holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zimbru
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
13.2%
Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60