GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zimbru · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Zimbru are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Milsami Orhei are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zimbru hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Super Liga, while Zimbru holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zimbru

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

13.4%

Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZimbruLWLWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Milsami OrheiDDDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ZimbruMilsami Orhei
66.7Attack23.8
72.2Defence52.4
61.1Form33.3
65.1Power38.7
2.13xG0.72
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