Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Noah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zimbru are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Noah are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Noah hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Noah holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Noah
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
FC Noah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40