Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Zimbru II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Iskra are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zimbru II hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Liga 1, while Zimbru II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zimbru II
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
8.3%
Zimbru II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00