GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Zhetysu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Premier League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

13.1%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZhetysuWWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay SemeyWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ZhetysuYelimay Semey
36.4Attack48.3
42.4Defence60.0
28.8Form51.7
38.4Power55.2
0.89xG1.60
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