Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Zhetysu are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40