Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhetysu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Zhetysu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.4 against 37.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Premier League, while Zhetysu holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zhetysu
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Zhetysu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80