Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhenys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Zhenys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zhetysu are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.7% in the Premier League, while Zhenys holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zhenys
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
18.7%
Zhenys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00