Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Zhenys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ulytau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.6 against 47.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60