Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Zhenys are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60