Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Zhenys are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Irtysh are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60