Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Zhenys are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Astana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80