ZenitvsRodina Moskva

Zenit are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Rodina Moskva are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit hold an 80.7-point power-rating edge (98.0 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Premier League, while Zenit holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.