GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ryazan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Zenit Penza are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ryazan are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ryazan hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Ryazan holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ryazan

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

73.6%

Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zenit PenzaWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RyazanDWDDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Zenit PenzaRyazan
33.3Attack53.7
29.6Defence77.8
25.9Form57.4
31.5Power62.3
0.53xG2.26
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