Zenit PenzavsOrel

Zenit Penza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Orel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orel hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Second League - Group 3, while Orel holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.