GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 6/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Zenit Penza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metallurg Lipetsk

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

76.3%

Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zenit PenzaLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Metallurg LipetskWDWDW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Zenit PenzaMetallurg Lipetsk
33.3Attack66.7
29.6Defence61.4
25.9Form61.4
31.5Power63.7
0.76xG2.83
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