Zenit PenzavsAvangard Kursk

Zenit Penza are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Avangard Kursk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Second League - Group 3, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.