Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zaragoza are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Utebo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Utebo hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 92.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Utebo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utebo
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Utebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60