Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaragoza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Zaragoza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Barbastro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Zaragoza hold a 48.4-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 16.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Zaragoza holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zaragoza
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Zaragoza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60