GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Plovdiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Zagorets are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Spartak Plovdiv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Plovdiv hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Third League - Southeast, while Spartak Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Plovdiv

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

11.9%

Spartak Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZagoretsDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak PlovdivWLWLW

GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ZagoretsSpartak Plovdiv
0.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence0.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power72.0
1.54xG1.58
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