Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Yupanqui are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Canuelas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Canuelas hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20