GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Yunnan Yukun are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Yunnan Yukun hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yunnan YukunDDLWL

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Sichuan JiuniuDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Yunnan YukunSichuan Jiuniu
65.2Attack45.5
37.9Defence37.9
47.0Form34.8
51.5Power41.0
2.71xG1.51
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