GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yunnan Yukun are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.5 against 52.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yunnan YukunLWLWD

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SHANGHAI SIPGLWWLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Yunnan YukunSHANGHAI SIPG
65.2Attack54.5
37.9Defence53.0
47.0Form45.5
51.5Power52.3
1.99xG1.87
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