GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Yunnan Yukun are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shanghai Shenhua are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yunnan YukunWLDWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Shanghai ShenhuaDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Yunnan YukunShanghai Shenhua
65.2Attack60.3
37.9Defence46.0
47.0Form50.8
51.5Power53.6
2.27xG2.08
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