GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Yunnan Yukun are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Yunnan Yukun hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yunnan YukunDWLLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hangzhou GreentownWLLDL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Yunnan YukunHangzhou Greentown
65.2Attack49.2
37.9Defence42.9
47.0Form46.0
51.5Power47.3
2.44xG1.67
View match centre →