Yorkvs
Sunderland
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunderland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
York are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sunderland are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunderland hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sunderland holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunderland
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
9.1%
Sunderland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60