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York logoYorkvsPeterborough logoPeterborough

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

York are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Peterborough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

7.1%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

YorkDLLWD

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
PeterboroughLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
YorkPeterborough
61.9Attack100.0
33.3Defence47.6
42.9Form71.4
49.0Power69.9
1.93xG2.90
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