Yorkvs
Crawley Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
York are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Crawley Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the League Cup, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crawley Town
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
13.7%
Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40