GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

York · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

York are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Bristol Rovers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and York hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the League Two, while York holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

York

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

13.8%

York has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

YorkLLDLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bristol RoversLDDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
YorkBristol Rovers
50.0Attack40.6
50.0Defence52.9
50.0Form44.9
50.0Power47.6
1.45xG1.04
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