Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
York 9 FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forge are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
15.3%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60