Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
York 9 FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Forge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00