GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

York 9 FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

York 9 FCDWDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlético OttawaDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
York 9 FCAtlético Ottawa
38.1Attack52.1
26.2Defence39.6
33.3Form50.0
35.0Power49.6
1.42xG2.20
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