GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yokohama F. Marinos are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yokohama F. MarinosLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Machida ZelviaLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Yokohama F. MarinosMachida Zelvia
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power95.8
1.28xG1.73
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