GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yokohama F. Marinos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kashima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yokohama F. MarinosLDWWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KashimaWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yokohama F. MarinosKashima
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence33.3
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power83.3
1.55xG1.69
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