GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yokohama F. Marinos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Tokyo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yokohama F. Marinos hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the J1 League, while Yokohama F. Marinos holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yokohama F. Marinos

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yokohama F. MarinosLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
FC TokyoDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yokohama F. MarinosFC Tokyo
66.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form16.7
53.0Power25.2
1.95xG1.26
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