GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ynyshir Albions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ynyshir Albions are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cardiff Draconians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ynyshir Albions hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the FAW Championship, while Ynyshir Albions holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ynyshir Albions

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Ynyshir Albions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ynyshir AlbionsDLDLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cardiff DraconiansWDDLW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ynyshir AlbionsCardiff Draconians
33.3Attack0.0
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power36.5
1.73xG1.20
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