GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ynyshir Albions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ynyshir Albions are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aberystwyth Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ynyshir Albions hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the FAW Championship, while Ynyshir Albions holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ynyshir Albions

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

10.5%

Ynyshir Albions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ynyshir AlbionsDWDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Aberystwyth TownLWDLD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ynyshir AlbionsAberystwyth Town
33.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power59.3
1.86xG1.60
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