Ynyshir Albionsvs
Aberystwyth Town
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ynyshir Albions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ynyshir Albions are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aberystwyth Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ynyshir Albions hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the FAW Championship, while Ynyshir Albions holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ynyshir Albions
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
10.5%
Ynyshir Albions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80