Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ylivieska · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ylivieska are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Rops are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Suomen Cup, while Ylivieska holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ylivieska
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Ylivieska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.67
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80