GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 8/16/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Yichun Grand Tiger are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yichun Grand TigerDLDDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Shenzhen 2028WLWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Yichun Grand TigerShenzhen 2028
20.0Attack60.0
63.3Defence61.7
30.0Form60.0
40.5Power60.5
0.56xG1.28
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