Yichun Grand Tigervs
Guangzhou Dandelion
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 5/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Yichun Grand Tiger are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Guangzhou Dandelion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangzhou Dandelion hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20