GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/22/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Yichun Grand Tiger are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Guangdong Mingtu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangdong Mingtu hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yichun Grand TigerLDDLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guangdong MingtuLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yichun Grand TigerGuangdong Mingtu
20.0Attack31.7
63.3Defence68.3
30.0Form38.3
40.5Power48.4
0.48xG0.65
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