GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yeovil Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Yeovil Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Carlisle are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yeovil Town hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the National League, while Yeovil Town holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yeovil Town

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

11.5%

Yeovil Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yeovil TownDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CarlisleLWLWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Yeovil TownCarlisle
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.83xG1.32
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