GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 4/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zvezda St. Petersburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yenisey II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Zvezda St. Petersburg are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zvezda St. Petersburg hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Second League - Group 2, while Zvezda St. Petersburg holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zvezda St. Petersburg

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Zvezda St. Petersburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yenisey IILWDDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Zvezda St. PetersburgDDDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Yenisey IIZvezda St. Petersburg
31.4Attack45.1
29.4Defence51.0
27.5Form39.2
32.5Power46.8
0.95xG1.81
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