GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 5/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Yelimay Semey are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kaspiy are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Premier League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay SemeyLLDDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KaspiyWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay SemeyKaspiy
48.3Attack34.9
60.0Defence54.0
51.7Form34.9
55.2Power43.9
1.48xG0.74
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